March 29, 2024

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Chad O'Carroll

Chad O'Carroll

Chad O'Carroll is the founder of NK News/NK Pro and related holding company Korea Risk Group. In addition to being the group's CEO, O'Carroll is a frequent writer and commentator about the Koreas, having written about the two nations since 2010. He has visited the DPRK multiple times, worked and lived in Washington, D.C. with a focus on peninsula issues, and lived in the ROK since 2016.

Analysis

How North Korea could set a trap to bait South into a military clash

Kim Jong Un says he won’t start a war, but Seoul’s stance on retaliation gives DPRK a pretext to be provoked

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollJanuary 17, 2024
Analysis

How South Korea’s Security Council stint could exacerbate North Korea issues

Some fear Seoul will use role to deny sanctions exemptions or derail diplomacy, though others predict little impact

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollJanuary 5, 2024
Analysis

What to make of North Korea’s upbeat plenum on its big plans for 2024

Pyongyang ditched goal of unification and braced for conflict, while celebrating progress in military and economy

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollJanuary 1, 2024
Analysis

Next steps for North Korea: Where will the country be five years from now?

Most experts predict continued isolation and decline, while minority say Russia and China will prop up DPRK economy

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollDecember 22, 2023
Analysis

Next steps for North Korea: Will the DPRK reopen its borders in 2024?

Survey finds most experts expect partial reopening for only allies or embassies, as hardliners push to maintain control

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollDecember 21, 2023
Analysis

Next steps for North Korea: Will South Korea go nuclear to counter the DPRK?

Most experts agree ROK unlikely to develop nukes, but doubts about US commitment could lead Seoul to reconsider

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollDecember 20, 2023
Analysis

Next steps for North Korea: Are international sanctions still relevant?

Vast majority of experts say DPRK sanctions regime is increasingly ineffective, but many argue it still has role to play

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollDecember 19, 2023
Analysis

Next steps for North Korea: How open is Kim Jong Un to future diplomacy with US?

Most experts say DPRK would have limited interest in talks with new president, though some see potential in arms control

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollDecember 18, 2023
Analysis

Next steps for North Korea: How successful is Yoon’s inter-Korean policy?

Survey of over 100 experts finds most consider Seoul’s approach ‘ineffective,’ with many saying tensions have worsened

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollDecember 15, 2023
Analysis

Next steps for North Korea: How can the West and ROK influence Pyongyang?

Over 100 experts weigh in on the best policy toward the DPRK, with a plurality endorsing direct engagement and diplomacy

Chad O'CarrollChad O'CarrollDecember 14, 2023