May 31, 2023
Analysis

A Trump presidency and North Korea: Three potential outcomes

Continuation of status quo, or ROK paying more for troops, appear possible outcomes

Although polls following the Democratic National Convention suggest Hillary Clinton may now have a reasonably comfortable lead, her less-than-perfect credentials and the polarized nature of U.S. politics means the chance of a Trump presidency still looms heavily.

As such, U.S. allies in Asia should not start breathing a sigh of relief just yet, making it worthwhile scenario planning for the possibility of a Trump victory and its impact on the peninsula.