The following is the second in a three-part series on future scenarios for the North. Part one can be read here.

As we have discussed in the previous piece, it seems likely – almost certain – that North Korea under Kim Jong Un will eventually attempt to build up a local version of a developmental dictatorship.

But the North Korean variety is likely be different from other developmental dictatorships which were so common in East Asia after World War II (China under Deng Xiaoping, South Korea under Park Chung-hee). The North Korean variety will be significantly more repressive and also less reliant