South Korea’s Constitutional Court will soon deliver a milestone ruling on President Yoon Suk-yeol’s political fate following his Dec. 3 martial law declaration, deciding whether to permanently remove him from office or reinstate him.

And while the ruling’s immediate impact will be on domestic politics, it will also carry profound implications for Seoul’s security posture and its policies toward North Korea in the years ahead.

The Constitutional Court concluded its final session on Feb. 25 and is expected to rule sometime in the next week, setting up three major scenarios for the coming months.

If the court upholds Yoon’s impeachment,