Ankit Panda is the Stanton Senior Fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and editor-at-large at The Diplomat. Follow him on Twitter.
Stealth advantages of sea-launched weapons could push US and ROK toward preemption, while DPRK bets on deterrence effect
First-of-its-kind exercise underscores difficulty of preemption as DPRK diversifies the forms of its missile launches
While nominally a game, ‘Nuclear War Simulator’ realistically depicts DPRK attack scenarios and what’s at stake
Some doubt DPRK reentry vehicles would work as intended, but nuclear deterrence can be effective despite uncertainties
Military reportedly launched Hwasong-15 on short notice, as DPRK shifts focus from development to operational exercises
Quantity of ICBMs renders interception highly unfeasible and pushes US to accept relationship of mutual deterrence
DPRK seeks to make KN-25 the backbone of its tactical nuclear forces, though the weapon likely can’t play that role yet
Improving situational awareness would help DPRK strike targets in conflict but could also have a stabilizing effect
Like a firework waiting to be lit, solid-propellant missiles can be ready for use quickly in a conflict
Hwasong-17 likely designed to carry multiple nuclear warheads, but its cumbersome size also creates vulnerabilities
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